04 Ga Afrilu, 2016
Daga: Amir Abdulazeez
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gurin mafi yawan manazarta
harkokin siyasar Najeriya, ba wai abin da Tinubu yake buƙata shine abin tambaya
ba; wataƙila tambayar ita ce, ko Tinubu zai samu abin da yake buƙata? Kasancewar
gwamnatin Shugaba Buhari ta kammala kusan dukkan wasu muhimman naɗe-naɗen muƙamai
ba tare da an ji sunansa a ko ɗaya daga ciki ba, alama ce da take nuna cewar
akwai wani abu daban kuma babba da Asiwajun yake hari.
Yunƙurin Bola Tinubu a kusan tsawon
shekaru goma da suka gabata na ganin ya zama Mataimakin Shugaban ƙasar Najeriya,
wani abu ne da kusan duk wani mai sanya idanu kan harkokin siyasa yake sane da
shi. Wannan yunƙuri nasa, duk da ya jawo masa abubuwa daban-daban na cigaba da
kuma cikas, amma ya yi sandiyyar zamansa wani ƙusa kuma jigo a matakin ƙasa. Labari
ya yi ta kewayawa cewar, ƙoƙarin da Tinubu ya yi na zama ɗan takarar mataimaki
ga tsohon Mataimakin Shugaban Ƙasa Atiku Abubakar a ƙarƙashin tsohuwar jam’iyyar
Action Congress (AC) a zaɓen Shugaban ƙasa na shekarar 2007 shi ya
kawo rashin jituwa tsakaninsu wanda har ta kai ga Atikun ya bar jam’iyyar AC ɗin
ya koma PDP a shekarar 2008-matakin da har yanzu yake bibiyarsa har kawo yau
kuma wasu suke ganin ya taka wata ‘yar rawa wajen rashin nasarar Atikun wajen
samun tutar takarar APC a shekarar 2015. An rawaito cewar shi Atiku yana ganin
ba a yi adalci ba idan aka bai wa Bayerabe ko ɗan kudu maso yamma takarar
mataimakin shugaban ƙasa a dai-dai lokacin da Shugaba Obasanjo wanda yake Bayerabe
ne shima yake kammala shekaru 8 a kan mulki. Don haka Atiku sai ya bada mamaki
wajen ɗaukar Sanata Ben Obi wanda ba a sani ba sosai daga kudu maso gabashin Najeriya
a maimakon Tinubu wanda shi ya yi uwa yai makarɓiya wajen ganin shi Turakin Adamawa ɗin ya samu tikitin AC cikin
sauƙi, bayan PDP ta yi masa wulaƙanci.
Rahotanni sun nuna cewar rashin
amincewar Buhari na ya ajiye Fasto Tunde Bakare ya ɗauki Tinubu, ita ta kawo
rugujewar ƙoƙarin haɗewa ko dunƙulewa tsakanin tsofaffin jam’iyyun CPC, ANPP da
ACN a shekarar 2011 domin tunkarar Jonathan da PDP. Daga baya Buhari ya yi masa
biyan bashi a 2015 inda ya yi wa Tinubu tayin bashi abinda bai samu damar bashi
ba a 2011. To amma Jagaban Borgun yana
sane da matsala da tarnaƙin da tsayar da Musulmai zalla za ta iya kawo wa damar
da jam’iyyar APC take da shi na cin zaɓen shugaban ƙasa. Tinubu ya bai wa
mutane mamaki wajen danne kwaɗayinsa tare da miƙa sunan tsohon kwamishinansa Farfesa
Yemi Osinbajo a matsayin ɗan takarar mataimakin shugaban ƙasa. Mutane da yawa
suna kallon Osinbajo a matsayin wanda kawai yake riƙe da waccan kujera a
madadin jagoran APC ɗin na ƙasa.
Me yasa Tinubu ya dinga
fafutukar zama mataimakin shugaban kasa, ba ji ba gani? A
tarihin dimokraɗiyyar Najeriya, da wahala a samu wani wanda ya ƙaunaci zama
mataimakin shugaban ƙasa kamar sa. Amsar ba wata mai wahala bace; magana ce ta
dabarar siyasa, me yiwuwa yana son zama shugaban ƙasa kuma yana so ya bi ta
hanya mafi sauƙi, wacce ita ce ya fara zama mataimakin shugabn ƙasa. Tinubu ya
samu damar da zai tsayar da kansa ɗan takarar shugaban ƙasar jam’iyyar ACN a
shekarar 2011, amma bai yi hakan ba, me yiwuwa saboda ya san ɓata lokaci ne
kawai kuma ƙila ba kamar sauran ‘yan siyasa ba, shi ba burinsa kawai ace ya taɓa takarar shugaban ƙasa ba. Bayan
haka kuma bai yi wani yunƙuri na zama mataimakin Nuhu Ribaɗu ba, wanda
jam’iyyar ACN ɗin ta bai wa takarar shugaban ƙasa a wancan lokaci. Kodayake
hakan bai ba wa mutane mamaki ba.
Dukkan jama’a, ciki har da Tinubu
shi kansa sun san cewar zai yi matuƙar wahala ga wani mutum ɗan kudu maso yamma
ya zama shugaban ƙasa kai tsaye a nan kusa, duba da cewar Obasanjo ya riga ya
yi mulki na tsawon shekaru 8 a cikin 16 ɗin da aka yi da dawowar dimokraɗiyya a
madadin wannan yankin. Da alama dai Asiwaju ya sadaukar da burinsa na zama
mataimakain shugaban ƙasa a shekarar 2015 domin tabbatar da nasarar jam’iyyar
APC, sai dai kuma ba za a fitar da ran cewar kuma a ƙarshe zai tsaya takarar
shugaban ƙasar kai tsaye ba a shekarar 2019. Idan Buhari ya yanke shawarar ba
zai nemi zango na biyu ba, to tamkar ya share wa Tinubu hanyar zama ɗan takarar
jam’iyyar APC ne a 2019.
Idan Tinubu ya samu nasarar zama
shugaban ƙasa, hakan zai zamo wani sakamako ko lada na tsawon lokaci da aka ɗauka
ana tsare-tsare, haƙuri, surƙullen siyasa, zuba jari da kuma sadaukarwa. Tushen
kafuwar sansanin siyasa da ƙarfin faɗa-a-jin tsohon gwamnan Jihar Lagos ɗin
wanda yake ƙara faɗaɗa a kullum, ya samo asali ne daga kasancewarsa gwamna ɗaya
tilo wanda ba na PDP ba a yankin Kudu maso yamma da kuma ɗaya cikin biyu a yankin
Kudancin Najeriya baki ɗaya bayan zaɓukan shekarar 2003 da kuma jajircewarsa da
fafutuka wajen ganin an fatattaki PDP daga yankinsa na Yarabawa tare da
tabbatar da siyasar adawa a ƙasa baki ɗaya.
Wasu na kallon rashin karɓar wani
muƙami a gwamnatin Buhari kawo yanzu daga ɓangaren Tinubu, kamar wani abu ne da
zai iya haifar masa da matasala; wasu kuwa suna ganin hakan ma ƙarfi zai ƙara
masa. Masu kallon hakan a matsala suna ganin cewar waɗansu mutane da suke cikin
gwamnatin Buhari zasu yi amfani da muƙamansu wajen yin aikace-aikacen da zasu
birge Buharin ta yadda zai yi tunaninsu a matsayin waɗanda zasu gaje shi domin ɗorawa
a kan manufofin gwamnatinsa, hakan kuwa zai kawar da Tinubu daga lissafi. A ɗaya
ɓangaren, wasu na ganin cewar rashin karɓar wani muƙami zai sa Tinubu ya mayar
da hankali kan siyasarsa kuma zai raba kansa da duk wata badaƙƙala mai alaƙa da
aikin gwamnati. Sannan kuma jam’iyyar APC
zata cigaba da jin cewar har yanzu yana binta bashin da baza ta iya
biyansa ba. Bayan haka matasayinsa na kafi-sarki zai ci gaba da ɗorewa.
Ko shakka babu, ƙudurin Tinubu
na zama shugaban ƙasa, akwai yiwuwar ya gamu da ƙalubale daban-daban. Akwai
muhimman mutane da mai yiwuwa su nemi yin takara da shi tun ma daga yankinsa na
kudu maso yamma. Muhimman Yarabawa irinsu Babatunde Fashola, Kayode Fayemi ko
ma Yemi Osinbajo, duk zasu iya nuna sha’awarsu ga kujerar shugaban ƙasa. Muhimman
‘yan jam’iyyar APC daga yankin kudu maso gabas na Inyamurai kamarsu Chris
Ngige, Ogbonnaya Onu da Rochas Okorocha suma zasu iya cewar to idan har mulki
zai dawo kudu ne, to kamata yayi a ce kudu maso gabas zai dawo ba kudu maso
yamma ba. Duk da irin shahararren gangancin siyasa da ragon azancin da kudu
maso gabas suka yi a zaben shekarar 2015, zasu iya kallon Tinubu a matsayin
wanda ya hana a basu kujerar mataimakin Shugaban ƙasa kuma zasu tashi tsaye a
kansa wajen ganin bai ƙara hanasu wata damar ta samun kujerar mataimakin
shugaban ƙasar ba, da ma ƙila ta shugaban ƙasar baki ɗungurugum a shekarar
2019. Wata mishkila da Tinubu zai iya fuskanta ita ce yankin Arewa wanda zai
iya cewa idan har Buhari ba zai yi zango na biyu ba, to dole a ƙyale wani daga
yankin aƙalla ya ƙarashe mulkin na tsawon shekaru huɗu. Mutane irinsu Atiku
Abubakar, Bukola Saraki, Rabi’u Kwankwaso, Nasir El-Rufa’i da kuma wasu
gwamnonin APC ɗin da suka gama zangonsu na biyu duk zasu yi yunƙurin gwada
damarsu idan hakan ta faru.
Kasancewar mafi yawan jam’iyyar
APC a aljihun Tinubu take, zai zamo riba a gareshi sosai, to amma kuma zai iya
zamo masa matsala. Ya tara maƙiya da yawa a ƙoƙarinsa na baza ƙarfin ikonsa
zuwa ko’ina a cikin jam’iyyar. Babu wani mutum da ya cicciɓa kuma ya sassaka yawan
mutane a cikin shugabancin jam’iyya da gwamnati kamarsa, kuma bisa ga dukkan
alamu, zai iya samun goyon bayan Buhari. Sai dai kuma, kankanewarsa da
babbakewarsa a kowanne bangare da kuma ƙoƙarin zama mai ruwa da tsaki a kan duk
wani abu zai iya kawo masa tarnaƙi. Yanzu haka rahotanni sun fara kewayawa
cewar, wasu jiga-jigan APC sun fara tunanin barin jam’iyyar saboda irin ƙarfin
da Tinubu yake da shi. Kwanakin baya, an kawo masa cikas a yunƙurinsa na ƙaƙaba
wa Majalisun Tarayya shugabanci; idan bai bi a hankali ba, ɓangarori da yawa a
cikin APC zasu dunƙule waje ɗaya domin su yi masa taron dangi a 2019.
©Mujallar
Mikiya, 2016.
Twitter: @AmirAbdulazeez
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